long-time lurker who finally decided to make an account
— 🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: After the failure of Pakistani and Qatari mediation efforts, oil skyrockets back to $110 per barrel within just a few hours
@Middle_East_Spectator
https://t.me/Middle_East_Spectator/37881
They’re running out of artificial options to keep the oil prices down. Months ago this same tactic worked for significantly longer stretches. We’re witnessing the nullification of US soft power in real time.
I feel the same, things are so surreal right now. Watching oil prices inch ever higher, knowing the West has no real solution to their predicament, and waiting for the moment that the quantitative turns into the qualitative.
These quotes say a whole lot of nothing imo. Even if the bogus claim of export volume rebound is ignored, the “higher cost, longer voyage times, heavier use of tankers and less spare capacity in the logistics system” is a direct consequence of Iran’s ability to enforce its sovereignty over the SoH. It’s attritional warfare that heavily favors Iran in the same way as a Shahed drone for a Patriot interceptor does. The language used in the last quote makes it appear as if this outlet is running a more palatable cover of the same rhetoric spewed by the US ruling class. “Weaponize chokehold” versus “enforce sovereignty” for example. I don’t have time to read the full article or look into them further rn but do we know their political orientation?
🛢 Vitol chief: the West has no oil inventories left to drain
Oil inventories in Western countries have been exhausted as a result of the US-Israeli war on Iran. That is the warning from Russell Hardy, CEO of Vitol Group, the world’s largest independent oil trader.
“There aren’t any more inventories to drain in the West. We drained the available inventory,” Hardy told the Energy Intelligence Forum in London on Tuesday, as reported by Bloomberg. He warned that fuel markets are likely to remain tight going into winter.
Hardy added that Gulf exports of around 12 million barrels of crude and 2 million barrels of refined products per day are all that is keeping the market balanced. “Without it, you do have that $200 per barrel scenario.”
A day earlier, the CEO of Saudi Aramco warned that less than 10% of the world’s 6 billion barrels of oil stockpiles is practically available because of logistics problems.
On Friday, the G7 and its partners announced the release of 100 million barrels of emergency reserves, after Washington pressured Europe to do more about soaring diesel prices. Hardy said the details of that release were “not fully transparent.”
All of this comes as US President Donald Trump weighs restarting major combat operations against Iran. He told Time magazine that renewed bombing after the November midterm elections is “possible,” and a third US aircraft carrier group is reportedly heading to the region.
🔴 @DDGeopolitics
https://t.me/DDGeopolitics/194861
If we cast aside common liberal framing of “Trump stupid,” the next logical step seems to be either 1) the US wants a market crash or 2) they’re genuinely caught in a vise
Yeah I’m reminded of the CPC encouraging party members to read classical Marxist writings daily as a way of developing discipline and integration into routine life.
Talking to people (even if it isn’t about politics), doing simple analysis, taking notes during and after reading and staying aware of political/economic developments are essential as well.