Benjamin Netanyahu is warning Americans that an Iranian nuclear weapon would make today’s energy crisis look far worse, while the Trump administration is considering an extraordinary new escalation: possible use of the GBU-43/B “Mother of All Bombs” against Iranian nuclear or energy targets. In this Monday geopolitical analysis, Kevork Almassian examines the growing contradiction between Washington’s threat of overwhelming force and John Mearsheimer’s argument that additional aircraft carriers, bombing campaigns and economic pressure still cannot force Iran into surrender.

The discussion also examines Reuters’ investigation into how Iranian precision strikes have damaged critical Gulf infrastructure and constrained U.S. war planning, Qatar’s public call for citizens and institutions to prepare for “worst-case scenarios,” and the danger of Ahmed al-Sharaa sending Syrian soldiers into Saudi Arabia’s war in Yemen. Are Washington and its allies approaching victory, or widening a conflict whose economic and military costs they may no longer be able to control?