• 201dberg@lemmygrad.ml
    3 days

    The sides will be
    “Those that want to murder Palestinians.”
    VS
    “Those that want to murder Palestinians more.”

    • AF_R [he/him]@hexbear.netEnglish
      3 days

      It’s not, if you read the article it’s an assessment by CIA Red Cell whose entire job is to create reports of situations that are wildly improbable. Presumably to enhance readiness against unexpected situations.

      This post and the cross posts of it are clearly trying to frame this as if Israel is about to collapse in civil war and mislead the readers.

      Frankly I’m not sure what the purpose of trying to detach leftists from material reality is, and the only conclusion I can come to is malice.

      Being lost in hyperreality and unaware of the world serves no purpose to leftists and leftism, whether it’s in the grand scheme of revolution, or in our daily lives as workers.

      • amemorablename@lemmygrad.ml
        3 days

        To be fair, the factors they list are real (as far as I know, anyway):

        The assessment points to a volatile mix of pressures ahead of Israel’s Oct. 27 election, including economic strain, rising military spending, anger over exemptions from compulsory military service for ultra-Orthodox Jews and escalating violence by Israeli occupiers in the occupied West Bank.

        It also identifies Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s fight to remain in power as a source of further political and constitutional tension.

        Years of war in Gaza, Lebanon and Iran have deepened existing divisions, according to the report, as soldiers return from prolonged combat, many suffering serious psychological trauma.

        The military draft dispute has emerged as one of Israel’s sharpest internal fault lines, with resentment growing over exemptions for ultra-Orthodox men following repeated reserve mobilizations.

        The assessment also points to Israel’s growing international isolation, including eroding support in the US, as another factor that could deepen internal instability.

        But yeah, it’s not like this means civil war is imminent. It’s “factors that could lead to” and the circumstances of things are always in motion.